The Week in Review: 6/4/2012

June 4, 2012

Katie Putnam and Eric L. Olson, The Mexico Institute’s Elections Guide, 6/4/2012

López Obrador

In a remarkable turn of events, Andrés Manuel López Obrador (PRD) appears to dramatically narrow the gap with frontrunner Enrique Peña Nieto (PRI) in a new poll from Reforma newspaper. While other similarly credible polls put him much further back, it seems that the student protests and recent corruption scandals are benefitting the PRD candidate and may have hurt the PRI candidate. Read the rest of this entry »


What Do Mexicans Want in Their Next President?

May 30, 2012

Eric L. Olson and Diana Murray Watts, The Mexico Institute’s Elections Guide, 5/30/2012

With just a few weeks left until election day, ideas about what Mexicans want in their next president are beginning to crystalize. According to a recent public opinion survey the majority  want their next president to be “strong, self-confident, organized and far-sighted.”

A total of 803 people participated in De la Riva Group’s “Mexicans’ 2012 Expectations” survey. According to the results, eighty percent of respondents viewed a presidential candidate’s political “experience” as the most important qualification for ensuring good government, while twenty percent felt that a candidate’s education level was important. Fifty-six percent of respondents would prefer that the next president “understands the people well.” Forty-four percent thought the next president should be  “cultured and well-educated.”

Read the rest of this entry »


The Week in Review: 5/29/2012

May 29, 2012

Katie Putnam, The Mexico Institute’s Elections Guide, 5/29/2012

Student marches rocked Mexico City over the past week, injecting a new dynamic into the race for the first time, as Andrés Manuel López Obrador (PRD) takes over second place in a Mitofsky poll. Read the rest of this entry »


The Week in Review: 5/21/2012

May 21, 2012

Katie Putnam, The Mexico Institute’s Elections Guide, 5/21/2012

After the devastating finding of 49 dismembered bodies on a highway outside Monterey that rocked the country on May 13, experts highlighted the surprising lack of attention of the major presidential candidates to concrete security solutions. Dr. Duncan Wood writes for the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) about the impact of the economic situation on the upcoming elections, while Fitch Ratings determines the impact of the July 1 election to be “neutral” on the country’s creditworthiness. Read the rest of this entry »


The Week in Review: 5/14/2012

May 14, 2012

Katie Putnam, The Mexico Institute’s Elections Guide, 5/14/2012

The PRI’s Enrique Peña Nieto appears to hold his lead in the polls after the first presidential debate, and some observers bemoan the lack of interest among young Mexicans in the election and politics more generally. Read the rest of this entry »


The Week in Review: 5/7/2012

May 7, 2012

Katie Putnam, The Mexico Institute’s Elections Guide, 5/7/2012

The presidential candidates participate in their first televised debate, accusing each other of corruption and of misleading the public. Trailing candidates focus their criticisms on the frontrunner, Enrique Peña Nieto, who did not appear to suffer any fatal blows. Observers disagreed on the best performance of the evening, which suggests that no candidate had a clear win.  Read the rest of this entry »


First presidential debate for Mexico’s 2012 elections

May 7, 2012

The Mexico Institute5/7/2012

The first presidential debate in Mexico’s 2012 elections took place on Sunday, May 6th, 2012. The debate between Enrique Peña Nieto of the PRI, Josefina Vázquez Mota of the PAN, Andrés Manuel López Obrador of the PRD, and Gabriel Quadri de la Torre of PANAL was the first of two debates mandated by Mexico’s electoral law. Our analysis of the session is available here.

The IFE, Mexico’s Federal Electoral Institute, has posted the debate online on its YouTube account.

El Universal, one of Mexico’s leading newspapers, has published its exit poll following the debate. According to El Universal’s poll, 36.3% said that if the elections were held today, they would vote for Peña Nieto; 23.4% would vote for López Obrador, 22.0% would chose Vázquez Mota and 9.5% would prefer Quadri.

When asked who, in their opinion, won the presidential debate, 31.6% of the respondents considered Peña Nieto to be the victor candidate, 20.8% voted in favor of López Obrador, 18.4% voted for Quadri and 17.3% for Vázquez Mota. It is worth noting that 11.9% of the respondents considered neither candidate to have won the debate.

The complete poll results may be viewed here, at El Universal’s website.

The Mexican news source, Animal Político, offers a fresh new take on the discussion of the presidential debate through Palenque, an online forum to exchange ideas on key questions regarding contentious issues in Mexico. Opinion leaders and experts from different disciplines comment on the discussion question: ¿Quién ganó y quién perdió el debate? ¿Por qué? (Who won and who lost the debate? Why?). Click here to follow the debate.


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