The Week in Review: 1/23/2012

January 23, 2012

Katie Putnam, The Mexico Institute’s Elections Guide, 1/23/2012

Mancera

Former Mexico City attorney general Miguel Ángel Mancera wins the PRD’s internal poll, and with it the nod to represent the party in the July 1st mayoral election. The PRI breaks its electoral alliance with PANAL, the party led by teachers union boss Elba Esther Gordillo, while the presidential hopefuls from the PAN participate in a debate. The PRD´s presidential candidate Andrés Manuel López Obrador signs an economic pact with business leaders. Lastly, Mexican Institute colleagues offer views on the evolving electoral landscape. Read the rest of this entry »


1/10/2012: Preferences by candidate and party (Mitofsky data)

January 10, 2012

Katie Putnam, The Mexico Institute’s Elections Guide, 1/10/2012

New Mitofsky data shows that the closest presidential election would be between Enrique Peña Nieto (PRI), Andrés Manuel López Obrador (PRD), and Josefina Vázquez Mota (PAN). Vázquez Mota continues to be the favorite of the three possible PAN contenders; the party will select its candidate in February.

  • Peña Nieto polls ahead of candidates from all other parties, but the breakdown varies based on the PAN’s candidate. Vázquez Mota would poll 21 percent compared to Peña Nieto’s 42 percent and López Obrador’s 17 percent. Santiago Creel would beat López Obrador, but by only one point (19 to 18 percent). Ernesto Cordero would trail the PRD candidate by 4 points (15 to 19 percent).

Read the rest of this entry »


The Week in Review: 1/9/2012

January 9, 2012

Katie Putnam, The Mexico Institute’s Elections Guide, 1/9/2012

Happy New Year and welcome to the election year! In recent weeks, electoral laws limited campaigning for “candidates únicos” Enrique Peña Nieto and Andrés Manuel López Obrador. The PAN announced plans for candidate debates and frontrunner Josefina Vázquez Mota suggests boosting private investment in Pemex. Andrés Manuel López Obrador (PRD) released his intended cabinet appointments, as his party fielded a wide array of contenders for the Mexico City mayoral race. The PRI faced the reversal of its November victory in the Morelia mayoral election. Read the rest of this entry »


The Week in Review: 12/12/2011

December 12, 2011

Katie Putnam, The Mexico Institute’s Elections Guide, 12/12/2011

Enrique Peña Nieto has a “Rick Perry moment” at a renowned Mexican book fair, the three PAN candidates prepare to formally register for the party’s primary, and Andrés Manuel López Obrador tells supporters he will win in 2012 as he did in 2006. Read the rest of this entry »


12/12/2011: Party and candidate perceptions (Mitofsky data)

December 12, 2011

Katie Putnam, The Mexico Institute’s Elections Guide, 12/12/2011

The newly published Mitofsky poll, based on November 2011 data, reveals an shifting electoral field in terms of overall candidate preferences, opinions of the PAN candidates, and perceptions of the PRD’s Andrés Manuel López Obrador.

  • Among the leading candidates, the PAN’s Josefina Vázquez Mota gained three percentage points since August 2011 at the expense of the PRI’s Peña Nieto, who lost 2.8 points, and the PRD’s Andrés Manuel López Obrador, who dropped by 1.6 percent. (The total does not equal 100% due to abstentions.)

Read the rest of this entry »


The Week in Review: 11/28/2011

November 28, 2011

Katie Putnam, The Mexico Institute’s Elections Guide, 11/28/2011

Beltrones

Manlio Fabio Beltrones has dropped out of the PRI primary, clearing the way for Enrique Peña Nieto’s candidacy. The news comes two weeks after the PRD united behind Andrés Manuel López Obrador on November 16th. The PAN is now the only major party yet to select its candidate, although Josefina Vázquez Mota has emerged as the frontrunner. Read the rest of this entry »


The Week in Review: 11/21/2011

November 21, 2011

Katie Putnam, The Mexico Institute’s Elections Guide, 11/21/2011

The PRD selects Andrés Manuel López Obrador as its official candidate, who will lead a now united left. The PRI’s leading contender Enrique Peña Nieto announces his intention to open Pemex to more private investment, and the PAN’s Ernesto Cordero releases a six-point agenda. Read the rest of this entry »


The Week in Review: 10/31/2011

October 31, 2011

Katie Putnam, The Mexico Institute’s Elections Guide, 10/31/2011

Luisa María Calderón

CSIS features a new profile of Enrique Peña Nieto, the PRD’s quest for party unity continues, Santiago Creel breaks from President Calderón’s security strategy, and the PAN candidate (and the President’s sister) pulls ahead in the lead-up to the November 13th gubernatorial election in Michoacán.  Read the rest of this entry »


The Week in Review: 10/24/2011

October 24, 2011

Katie Putnam, The Mexico Institute’s Elections Guide, 10/24/2011

PAN President Gustavo Madero

The PAN raises eyebrows with its internal selection process, the PRD’s internal fissures become more visible, and The Financial Times weighs in on Enrique Peña Nieto.  Read the rest of this entry »


The Week in Review: 10/17/2011

October 17, 2011

Katie Putnam, The Mexico Institute’s Elections Guide, 10/17/2011

López Obrador

Candidates have begun to specify their policy agendas: Andrés Manuel López Obrador (PRD) unveiled his security, economic, and social philosophy in Washington, DC at the Mexico Institute this week, Enrique Peña Nieto (PRI) released a ten-point economic plan; and President Felipe Calderón (PAN) made controversial statements to the press about security. Josefina Vázquez Mota (PAN) will speak at a Mexico Institute and Inter-American Dialogue event on Friday, October 21st, and several prominent politicians and academics advocated forming a coalition government after the 2012 elections to end Mexico’s political gridlock. Read the rest of this entry »


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